[blibble]

remember: the FT have managed to mis-predict every single major UK political event relating to brexit:

  - they'll vote remain
  - they'll ignore the referendum result
  - they won't invoke article 50
  - the article 50 court case will prevent it being triggered
  - we won't exit
  - we'll stay in the single market

they simply have no understanding of how the electorate think

(though I suppose it's possible they may eventually get one right)

[Biologist123]

Magical thinking generally is alive and well in certain strata of British life. UK politics generally seems to be a game of make believe, with a broad failure to grasp that decline is now baked in.

[red-iron-pine]

"perception is reality" is not a trait that is particularly limited to the UK.

[disgruntledphd2]

To be fair, they're a business paper and from an economic perspective Brexit made absolutely no sense, so it's not that surprising.

[blibble]

maybe it's unrealistic that political journalists should have some insight of the subject matter beyond that of a politics student

(similarly: their recently retired stock-picking columnist revealed he'd never traded a stock)

[disgruntledphd2]

Did you expect any of those things? Like I followed the process religiously and I kept being surprised by the sheer insanity of all the UK government decisions.

[blibble]

yes, I successfully predicted all of the above

from June 24th 2016: a hard exit with a fudge on the NI border was the only path that kept the tory party in one piece

and the tory party has always prioritised that over everything else

remember: it's the only reason they called a referendum in the first place

the only way it would have gone differently would have been if Labour had a leader other than Corbyn

having him as the opposition guaranteed it would happen

(because Middle England hated the idea of Corbyn in power more than they hated brexit)

[disgruntledphd2]

I mean no disrespect, but that seems very unlikely.

Like, the Tory party didn't remain in one piece, they expelled a bunch of people and are almost unrecognisable from the people in power in 2016.

Any chance you have comments here or elsewhere supporting your predictions?

[scott_w]

They didn’t split. By that metric, they’re still in one piece and that’s the only metric those in the party care about right now.