[cubefox]

> In 5 years I expect it to be as normal as using an IDE.

Five years seems too conservative. Five years ago we only had GPT-1, which only generated funny word salad with acceptable syntax. An AI like ChatGPT seemed unthinkable at the time. And ChatGPT came out only last year. In five years similarly radical changes could happen. Programmers might actually get replaced with AI. Sounds too radical? But ChatGPT also would have sounded too radical five years ago!

[IshKebab]

It's silly to extrapolate breakthroughs.

[cubefox]

AI breakthroughs happen at an increasing rate at least since AlexNet came out in 2012. Before that, "AI" was mostly OCR. The speed of progress is crazy. It doesn't look like a slowdown is ahead of us.