[ddp26]

Now down to 19%. Starting to stabilize, at 143 forecasters.

[alexose]

The 'nays' getting lots of traction on twitter right now

https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684642852616192000

[Mizza]

Some schmo with an instant coffee company. There's no need to surface random people's opinions.

[rcpt]

But it's tech instant coffee

[fijiaarone]

1000 to 1? Dollars to bitcoins? Shares in their room temperature superconductor monopoly?

[mrtranscendence]

I mean, he has a PhD in physics, at least. He's not just some rando off the street.

[oefrha]

I was a high energy theorist and I even went to the same school as this guy (Princeton). I’ll admit I’m a complete rando when it comes to superconducting materials. PhD in an unrelated subfield means very little. I guess it helps with grokking academic drama.

[nancyhn]

Einstein was some schmo working at a patent office...

[madacol]

For context, he is the same guy that went viral yesterday[0] excited with optimism, now saying there are other more possible explanations for the results besides superconductivity

[0]: https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684044616528453633

[mustacheemperor]

Just to keep us all up to date, he’s now linked a figure from the recently discovered third paper and returned to breathless excitement.

[fijiaarone]

Alright, I’ll give you 10:1 odds.