[JustBreath]

Seems like a blurry line between "reason" and "guessing."

Kind of like how an educated guess by a professional is often more accurate than a well reasoned opinion of a layman.

The professional may not have reasoned it so much as intuited, but within that intuition is a lot of wisdom.

I suppose "predicting" is a more precise word than guessing or reasoning.

Guessing implies an arbitrary nature, reasoning implies understanding the concepts at some level.