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by Daishiman 1068 days ago
The cascading events that might lead to the end of organized nation-states in many parts of the world due to climate change look like a real possibility now.
1 comments

What sort of events do you forsee?
I see a lot of dead people and violence.

Loss of glaciers in Himalaya ... 500 mil people on the move

Tropic & wet bulb or 50+C temperatures ... 2 mld. people on the move

Deforestations & droughts ... mass migrations, almost everybody affected

Large scale crop failures (temperatures, droughts, polinators ...) ... famines, wars

Biodiversity loses (it's critical) ... famines, huge loses for future ppl

Thermohaline circulation slow/shutdown ... cooling of northern countries, agricultural loses, extreme events

Loss of ice cover (Arctic, Greenland, Antarctic) ... rising oceans for several meters, major cities underwater

Cascading tipping points ... who knows

I'm starting to believe the sooner the system collapses, the better for the future of humanity.

200 million people trying to get into (or get through) 5 million country
As someone from a such country of 5 million, this crosses my mind almost daily now.
I'm thankful that I'm living in such country with equal nice countries on one side and rather closed one on other. With enough space to probably house this population in future.
Drought and flooding happening in many places in the world destabilizing grain prices.

Agricultural risks consolidating ag into even more megacorps.

Insurance costs making a lot of currently habitable places uninsurable, and after a few natural catastrophes nobody willing to settle in them.

Wet-bulb temperatures making the deaths of a few hundred thousands of people a frequent occurrence in many parts of the world.

Marine die-offs making the source of cheap high-quality protein in many places no longer accessible and lowering nutrition in several human populations.

What events don’t you see happening ? I can’t imagine things just “remaining the same” ?
What can't you imagine remaining the same?
Successful food harvests
It’s not just food security, but also water security. Rainfall patterns are set to change globally, with more frequent and increasingly severe droughts and floods. It doesn’t look good for the world’s biggest economy either

https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/details.cgi?aid=4028

Not sure if you’re trolling ?
I was. When I saw a chain of repeated questions I had to add mine.