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We are already facing numerous existential threats at the moment, even ones that are deliberately made to be an existential threat, take nuclear weapons.

“Hey fellow nation states, let’s not create nuclear bombs, but let’s pause developments and keep the current power dynamics fixed please” is completely unrealistic. Mind that creating nuclear weapons actually requires technical operations that are factors more complex than “large compute” in many aspects… like… enriching uranium and working with supercritical masses.

> you cant advance the state of the art inconspicuously.

What evidence has led you to believe this?