[radicalace]

exactly. where were all these self proclaimed experts, who are now making confident predictions about AI, before attention is all you need? literally 100% confidently predicted AI like chatGTP was hundreds or thousands of years away, or would have if asked. these people are the real bots.

and i never saw a single person on HN or anywhere else raise concerns or even appreciate the true impact GTP would have today in 2018 when GTP was released and samples available! people coundnt get it right even when it was right in front of them. how can they think for a single second theyre getting it right now?

to my credit i recognized immediately what was going on in 2018 and to my knowledge i was the only person leaving comments warning people and begging people to support a pause of research. so by the only material metric, i am more qualified to make predictions than anyone here or even the experts who all confidently predicted that what is happening now would never happen in our childrens lifetimes.

i will never forget when hinton saw the light. when he started warning of danger and using the key words that are at the heart of the issue. and i realized i had been ahead of him. just because youre an expert in one thing, even the implementation of ML or AI, doesnt make you an expert on the broader consequences of AI.