[kqr]

There's also the related idea of Superforecasting (explored initially by Tetlock): some people seem to just be really damn good at assigning probabilities to events. A platform like Metaculus allows finding those people and, at least to some extent, training them.

[tersh]

Yeah, Metaculus trains, identifies, and hires "Metaculus Pro Forecasters" for particular projects: https://www.metaculus.com/help/faq/#what-are-pros