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by tetrep
1065 days ago
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> There is a concern about the conjunctions that are occurring where no maneuvers are being made," said Lewis. "You could argue that the probability [of a collision in these cases] is very low, but given the very large number of them, they represent a quite substantial risk. It's like buying a ticket in a lottery. If you buy just one, you are unlikely to win, but if you buy a million tickets, you stand a pretty good chance." I didn't see anything in the article that implied what sort of odds we're looking at, nor what the consequences of individual collisions would be. Without anything like that, it's hard to understand why this is a bad or meaningfully risky thing. I understand Kessler syndrome is a problem, but is there really nothing less than that that can cause serious issues? The article doesn't really touch on any specific dangers. |
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