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I used to feel this way. But then I realized this is the natural push/pull of conservatism against progress. Incumbents get old and conservative. New companies crop up and try to do things differently. Sometimes the new ideas are stupid, and incumbents are right--the tried and true really is best. Other times, the incumbents have become so bureaucratic, slow, and out of touch with what matters (customers), that a new company can come in, do things dramatically better, and burn an old competitor down. Macro-wise, I think we should be glad for this. It's very hard to tell what will and won't work at the beginning. VCs get paid a lot of money for trying to guess this and even they can't get it right. I myself have been surprised many, many times when an idea I thought was incredibly stupid, turned out to have legs. One way to change your mind on this, write down your predictions about what companies/approaches/techniques will/won't work 10 years from now. If you do this say, once/year, and you're honest, you'll see how hilariously bad you, and more or less everyone else actually is, at predicting the future and knowing what will and won't work. Sometimes you really do just have to try it, and see what happens. |