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by 0x486566e7279
1080 days ago
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It’s not outright false you are looking at capacity, I am talking about actual output. The last year natural gas was 10% total output, the year before was 8%. Now I agree this has not been managed well, and we are in a worse place than we were on 2019. I didn’t realize how much worse off in the last couple years it got, but we are not in a power crunch, there will be no rolling blackouts. |
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Using this tool I'm seeing 12 months consumption at 17.4% gas. Last 30 days 28.47% (61% capacity). Gas capacity has been phased out as base load. https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/CA-ON
IESO confirms this https://www.ieso.ca/power-data (Supply tab)
Ontario will be dependent on 2000MW (~10% of demand) which has to come from areas also facing shortfalls. NERC puts the majority of the US as well as Ontario in "elevated risk in above-normal conditions". https://globalnews.ca/news/9752079/ontario-risk-summer-power...
Rolling blackouts could happen in “extreme but plausible scenarios” like a "once in a decade" heat wave (NERC).
We're facing climate change temps, population growth strained infrastructure and phased out gas plants. I hope it doesn't happen, but the possibility is worth having a personal plan.