[demindiro]

I haven't seen this take here yet, so here goes:

My suspicion is that Prigozhin got recruited by a Western agency (CIA?) with the intent to destabilize Russia from the inside.

Key here is to discredit the Kremlin, by e.g. exposing or at least making them seem incompetent. Later a coup/revolution is staged to cause internal conflict and make Russia unable to continue the war in Ukraine.

Given how short this "coup" was and how easy Wagner seemed to get off with this stunt I suspect Prigozhin instead informed the Kremlin (or Putin directly) and played along. He would likely get supported during the coup by whoever recruited him. If this is the case those assets are probably arrested by now.