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by darth_avocado 1101 days ago
You can live in a real estate investment or grow food on it or run a business in it. Bitcoin is a bunch of 1s and 0s that is same as a blank canvas hung in museum and is priced at $20M. It is essentially useless, but people believe it’s worth something, so it keeps holding value. Until one day, it doesn’t.
2 comments

I'm not a bitcoin maximalist, but you have to acknowledge that in this day and age that your definition pretty much applies to USD as well. People believe it's worth something. And so it is.
USD holds value because the government says it does. The government holds authority because they have a monopoly on violence. Or, if your less pessimistic, it's because people believe in the government.
> USD holds value because the government says it does.

so how do you explain dollarization of failed economies? Such as lebanon, or venezuela etc?

Surely, you're not saying that the US gov't somehow is exerting violence on another country to make the dollarization happen.

The people in Lebanon and Venezuela trust that the US government will continue to exist and that they will either meet with people who want to do business with it, or will meet people who assume they will meet people who will, etc. So they have value.
So if people trust that Bitcoin will continue to exist and they will meet people who want to do business with it etc...
That's the only thing that gives Bitcoin value. So, in a crisis it can become false for some people, then spread to the people they know, etc.

With dollars, all Americans need them. So do international companies that transact with Americans. If you think the US government will hold, then that belief will be true, it's only a question of the number of steps.

except bitcoin is one of the worst choices for that purpose

even the Iranian Rial is more reliable

Exactly

To paraphrase a quote attributed to Stalin - how many divisions does Satoshi have?

But then you have to explain why gift cards are worth something. The answer is, because someone will give you something for them.

Meanwhile there are a large number of entities that have already entered into long-term contracts denominated in cryptocurrencies and any of them would pay you something for it when they need to satisfy their obligations.

That doesn't mean the value never changes, but that's also true of government-issued currencies. That's what inflation is.

> But then you have to explain why gift cards are worth something

gift cards are vouchers

You pay $30 to the store so that someone else can spend the $30 in that store.

It's a certificate, not a currency, not a store of value.

It’s “buying power”
its a loan to the card issuer
Do gift cards go up & down 50% in a year and have large transaction costs?
Some of them do. Suppose the issuing company gets into some trouble and people fear they won't be able to make good, but then later they take care of it.

For that matter some government-issued currencies do that too.

when you say up and down you are referring to buying power. And yes, the buying power of a $20 grocery store gift card has gone way down the last few years. Consider how much milk and eggs you could buy in 2018 compared to today.
Yes, this is the key dimension of the "currency" front. But bitcoin "advocates" (a term I'll use for diplomatic purposes) say that within a context that implies that is somehow a low bar to clear or just a consquence of the monopoly of force or somehow morally questionable. But becoming something people trust (or at least have some amount of confidence in multiple dimensions in) is one of the most difficult things for any new asset class or medium of exchange.

Some of the main ways currencies and commodities get there are value stability (sticking within a certain band with <100% annual swings), wide acceptance and utility. After 10 years of many techno-smart people trying to engineer cryptos to become that we are nowhere near any of these promises being fulfilled.

I have to agree, fiat currency seems very similar to bitcoin. Its a manmade currency essentially that is backed by nothing.

Bitcoin appears to be the next phase of that manmade currency.

In general yes, but with the difference that the dollar (or other "real" currencies) are encoded in law to have a value with the whole state backing it.
US Dollar has value largely because the United States government is legally obligated to accept it to settle debts.
Yes that is one small dimension of why the dollar is valuable. But a far bigger part is the fact that using dollars enters you into the US financial (and by extension legal) systems which has been far more stable, reliable and predictable than other systems over the last century. For a point of reference consider Switzerland, whose currency is a minor reserve currency and whose banking and legal systems are globally appreciated, despite the fact that they have no power projection and a tiny population in comparison to their financial markets. The Swiss central bank has even deviated from their usual stable policy since 2008 and yet still they see inflows.
Also, any debt in the US can be paid with dollars. They even printed "for all debts, public and private" on the bills.
Also the US government threatens (and occasionally delivers) military and financial harm on entities that refuse to use USD for certain transactions.
Now do the US dollar!