And you're basing the truthfulness of his statement on what, exactly? That it corroborates with how you want to feel about the original poster? Hardly a "reality check."
Common sense, and a reasonable Bayesian prior for these things. And the fact that (whatever his intrinsnic talents) what the first guy was saying just smells like BS, and he seems backpedal a lot.
And you're basing the truthfulness of his statement on what, exactly? That it corroborates with how you want to feel about the original poster? Hardly a "reality check."