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> How long until vision based ‘AI’ systems make these kinds of counter measures obsolete? It seems like it should be straight forward for a multi-modal sensor package to combine with some basic physics logic (the airframe can only ‘move’ so much) which would defeat these types of counter measures. The vision based processing component should be able to filter out chaff and flare based disruption.

And then the countermeasure can maybe just flash a weird pattern of light at the missile to confuse the ‘AI’ systems and it starts thinking the jet is a cloud (e.g. https://www.theregister.com/2017/11/06/mit_fooling_ai/, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPxlhGSG0tc).