| > Attitudes like yours are why it kept spreading instead of petering out. Defining “why” can be a complex exercise, but let’s take a very simple approach: if there were not attitudes like the GP and everyone who could got vaccinated, would COVID have petered out? I don’t think so. It’s plausible that, if enough production capacity had existed to rapidly vaccinate, say, 85% of the world population, evenly distributed, that it would have worked. But getting a uniform 85% was never in the cards, and, starting some time in 2021, the vaccine was nowhere near effective enough for a two-dose series to suppress transmission even with 100% coverage. Sorry, but the idea of eliminating Covid with the vaccines we have was a nice fantasy, but it was not going to happen. (If the vaccine were much better and had good worldwide coverage, then maybe. The smallpox vaccine was good enough. The measles and chickenpox vaccines are plausibly good enough. The oral polio vaccine might be good enough, but I have serious doubts that the strategy with which it’s used is actually appropriate. Somehow there does not appear to be community transmission of polio in New York right now, and I’m a bit surprised. (People under about 23 years old in the US have generally received the injectable polio vaccine, not the oral vaccine. The injectable vaccine seems to be generally considered inadequate to prevent transmission. Maybe the under 23 year old NY population coupled with modern hygiene is not actually able to sustain an outbreak?) |
Since you aren't discussing the topic I wrote about, I won't reply further.