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by nirimda 1101 days ago
> What is left is the added value within Turkey, which has become cheaper because of the Lira drop.

Does this follow necessarily? If wage-earners have a fair degree of bargaining power or if wages are indexed, then the decrease in value of the lira will result in an increase in nominal wages. And in a condition of steady but substantial inflation, currency can be reduced to a medium of exchange rather than serving as a store of value - or in the case of contract negotiations, as an indication of the future value. Chances are, wage earners and others contracting for future delivery will just naturally take inflation into account when arranging the contract. Their payments might be in lira, but they way they set their prices is derived from the lira/euro exchange.

This is all basically what anti-inflation hawks mean when they say "we have to prevent inflation expectations hardening" etc. They want people to believe that a dollar today will have about the same value as a dollar next year.

So if you have a generally stable currency that depreciates and finds a new level, it might make the economy more competitive. If you have a currency that regularly varies, sometimes up, sometimes down, a depreciation might not mean much to its competitiveness (because an investor expects that the depreciation today has no relation to its value next year). And if you have a currency that is steadily declining, well, everyone has already accounted for that possibility so relative prices quickly adjust to return to the previous levels.