| Definitely don’t think it’s as settled as you’re implying here :) This think tank says 1.2B: https://www.zurich.com/en/media/magazine/2022/there-could-be... Reasoning: - 19 countries with the highest number of ecological threats are among the world’s 40 least peaceful countries including Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, Chad, India and Pakistan. - Over one billion people live in 31 countries where the country’s resilience is unlikely to sufficiently withstand the impact of ecological events by 2050, contributing to mass population displacement. - Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, the Middle East and North Africa are the regions facing the largest number of ecological threats. - 3.5 billion people could suffer from food insecurity by 2050; which is an increase of 1.5 billion people from today. - The lack of resilience in countries covered in the ETR will lead to worsening food insecurity and competition over resources, increasing civil unrest and mass displacement, exposing developed countries to increased influxes of refugees. |