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by SmooL 1109 days ago
Doesn't this completely miss the point? DCA is about reducing volatility, not maximizing return. Your expected value is higher without DCA, but it's not about the expected value - it's about tightening the stddev of possible outcomes. "A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush".
2 comments

It doesn’t exactly miss the point, but it does kind of blow past it and quickly dismiss it. There is a graph showing exactly this, and he even says “reduction of the risk comes at a price” — as it always does.
DCA is really about managing behavior rather than volatility or return. It's hard for many people to put a lump sum in the market, even if they agree it's the right thing to do. It's behaviorally easier to put X% in today and the rest on a schedule than to make the decision to put the lump sum in today. It's better to start the process than to waffle on if today is the day or not.