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by andsoitis 1104 days ago
> I'd say this is an example of naive pattern matching with no real reasoning.

It is an example of lack of mathematical (really probability) know how, not naïve pattern matching.

1 comments

I'd say it's an example of misphrased questions that people will intuitively make sense of, and thus produce strictly incorrect answer.

Obviously, people rephrase the question into : is there more chance that she's a feminist or that she isn't ?

Well, it's multiple-choice. So the "a" answer excludes the "b" answer by convention, and thus implies she isn't a feminist. Rephrase the question to remove that implication and I expect far more people will pick the "a" answer.