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by fithisux 1111 days ago
The article makes the assumption that those that took the placebo represent the typical post removal patient (an assumption).

So, for 100 untreeated patients 22 would die. Now for these 100 placebo patients, if they took the pill, they would die 12 (another assumption that the two populations are the same).

The reduction is (22-12) / 22 = 10/22 is the risk of death if untreated.

The complementary percentage is

12/22 approx 51%.

However this does not come with confidence intervals.