[twobitshifter]

The human moat is mostly physical labor, but also socialization - that’s really most of the executive’s duty, in my experience the slide decks are created by junior staff or consultants and often end up serving as a coffee table book to the discussion.

A high paying job that might be diminished greatly by AI are clinical doctors. In modern medicine, a large part of the job becomes interpreting test results and prescribing accordingly. How long before an Urgent Care diagnosis can be done by an LLM? Surgeons will of course not be replaced and an LLM can’t do even a blood draw, but writing a prescription? That seems within reach (if medical LLMs can be tamed of hallucinations)

[rcarmo]

Urgent Care diagnosis won’t ever be replaced by an AÍ because there are too many factors at play (including liability). People who believe tech can replace doctors in open-ended scenarios don’t have any idea of how doctors perform triage and diagnosis.

[twobitshifter]

Have you heard of MedPalm, developed by Google that scored 85% on exams equal to an expert?

Or that AI outperforms doctors in controlled studies and reading imagery? https://hbr.org/2019/10/ai-can-outperform-doctors-so-why-don...

Even being more empathetic than doctors as an LLM? https://today.ucsd.edu/story/study-finds-chatgpt-outperforms...

The first to go AI will be the telemedicine firms like TeleDoc, than the Urgent Care Centers will get AI screeners, and next the doctors will be left to click a confirmation button, and last since AI alone will outperform a doctor, that confirmation will fade away or lose importance.

Doctors get sued all the time, mostly when they mess up, if AI truly does better than these doctors, legal losses and insurance costs will drop off for hospitals.