Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by The_Colonel 1115 days ago
> The question is which economy is being hurt more relatively speaking.

2022 GDP growth:

* Germany +1.9%

* Russia -2.1% (according to Russia's agency)

Yeah, evidence absolutely points to European economy getting hammered while Russia is better than ever.

1 comments

now let's forward and see how things are going in 2023

https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/25/economy/germany-recession-q1-...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-25/germany-e...

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/russian-economy-minis...

Evidence absolutely does point to European economy getting hammered while Russia is better than ever. I have to ask what your agenda is here given that you keep trying to pretend things that are obviously happening aren't happening?

>> while Russia is better than ever.

In same fairytale, that may be so. In the real world, oil and gas revenue is 40% of Russia's federal budget and down -52% YoY as of April, so that's more than -20% from oil and gas alone gone before taking collapse of other exports and explosion of military expenditure into account. At this rate, we'll see a replay of 1998 soon.

In the real world Russia is making pre-war level profits of its energy exports. It's like you don't understand the concept of supply and demand, the need for the energy and other commodities that Russia was exporting hasn't magically gone away, and you can't just make these things appear out of thin air. The fact that so many people are unable to wrap their heads around is idea is just amazing.
Nice move of goalposts from "better than ever" to "pre-war", that is, Covid-riddled era with low demand.

The hard facts are that federal revenue is down -22% while expenditure is up +26% and Russia is running a 30% deficit.

That's some nice cherry-picking. German "barely a recession" projected at -0.1% over 2023 with most of the Europe growing is "getting hammered". Russia with -2.3% is "better than ever".
I mean if you're just going to keep repeating that then there's no point continuing this conversation. The Reuters link I provided clearly shows that Russia is projecting growth this year.