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by notahacker 1123 days ago
Whilst it's certainly a valid point that different technologies don't have exactly the same adoption curves, we're not talking about decades of behind closed doors innovation to make microcomputers people would want to use packet switching technology to share stuff on, we're talking about adoption curve of the most-hyped thing since the "information superhighway" of the 1990s, something which involves stadium sponsorship deals, Sand Hill Road and more electricity consumption than most countries. And generally the "it's like the early days of the web" stuff is coming from pro-crypto people, usually those who are pretty keen on stressing that their portfolio is not an experiment as doomed to obsolescence as a 1960s comms network (and that POS and faster transaction throughput on different blockchains isn't "better"). The issues the present crypto industry suffer from for the most part aren't scaling or lack of technology, they're philosophical.
1 comments

I disagree, I don’t think this is just about adoption curves and hype cycles.

I think fundamentally the infrastructure required to build decentralized applications is hard and has pushed the limits of computer science (zero knowledge proofs etc).

I think people have inflated expectations about how long it will take this technology to mature. Today it’s still very technically hard to build a scalable dapp that’s easy to use. Assuming this is something consumers actually want as opposed to a solution in search of a problem, this will take more time to solve.

Sometimes greed makes people think a technology is a lot further along than it actually is.