[ithkuil]

"We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run,"

-- Roy Amara

[visarga]

We also tend to underestimate AI hurdles in the short run, especially in other fields than our own.

[Workaccount2]

As far as I can tell, AI is about 10 years ahead of where experts were forecasting in ~2015.