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by HFguy 1124 days ago
You can argue that this PE, at this market cap implies, it will eventually have the world's largest market cap (larger than apple...maybe 2X).

Would think OpenAI and others would tire of buying chips from NVIDIA at some point well before that and make their own (like Google does).

1 comments

Yes, this is exactly the point - some people are making arguments about Nvidia's amazing software stack. Sorry, but Amazon and Google have some pretty fucking good software engineers, Google already tapes out TPUs. Oh, and those are Nvidia's biggest potential customers.

Honestly this stock market move makes it look like Google should just announce "hey we're putting the TPU on sale for general availability" they'd jump 25% overnight.

TPUs are available on GCP, but working with them has been frustrating.

My experience has been that it takes not insignificant effort to convert training scripts and then some weird unexpected bug takes a while to figure out, I’ve heard similar things from peers in academia.

Additionally, at least in early 2023, PyTorch had a substantial throughput reduction on TPUs so you’d probably need to use Jax (or god forbid TF) for efficiency sake.

Granted, I’ve heard some of the PyTorch XLA issues have since been improved.

Regardless, the H100 currently significantly outperforms TPUv4 in throughout on transformer loads, we’ll see what TPUv5 looks like to be fair but it’s not a given that Google/Amazon can outpace Nvidia in manufacturing and chip design when this is their core product and they also have amazing engineers + a large open source community building around CUDA.

I dunno if I'd trust Google hardware from a reliability and support standpoint.