[jasmer]

No, this is not true.

The loans were not made by special investment banks but regular banks of China, if they are not repayed it will be havoc.

They expect the loans to be repaid, and are definitely in trouble now that there are defaults.

Also the terms were less generous than IMF etc..

[nonethewiser]

Regular banks or not, the Congo's Sicomines agreement (linked above) and Sri Lankan port seizure make it pretty clear - China stands to achieve strategic goals when countries default on loans.

[jasmer]

So yes, but, it's not very clear at all, and this idea that 'China is making the loans so they default and then get access to ports' is 'rationally cynical' but not quite right.

Also, everyone is aware that this could be the reality and of the outcomes.

In reality - China's loans were regular commercial loans made by regular commercial banks (don't get me wrong, at the behest of the CCP).

The amount of $ lent out is staggering and it's not going to come back and it's yet another gigantic problem for China.

And yes, in the end, 'ports will be seized' etc..

Also I think we should be cynical in that China has zero goodwill whatsoever, unlike I think the duplicitous goodwill of the West they don't care one bit and will absolutely dig their tentacles into poor countries in an attempt to control them.

Unlike Soviet policy which was based on defence and handouts, China is based on deeper economic integration and they uses their 'very cheap labour and zero regard for anything' to build a lot of stuff. Africa is getting roads and airports which will go a long way to providing cover for the local regimes.

It remains to be seen if they can keep this up, but I don't see it subsiding - China is in a very good position to provide 'very cheap stuff' to 'very poor countries' and lever that economic clout. India also uses it's 'serf population' as a form of geopolitical leverage, if you were wondering 'who build the Qatar stadiums' ... it was that.

It's right for us to be cynical but we can't be arbitrarily cynical, it's generally a bit more complicated, and unfortunately there is zero public discussion or anything in the media in North America, and not enough in Europe either.

[theGnuMe]

China provides the funding, the materials and the workers to build the infrastructure. That's the bigger issue.

[smitty1e]

I'm not confident of a public/private sector distinction in China.

[George83728]

"Regular banks of China" are all de facto organs of the CCP government. They play along with the strategic agenda or their executives get reeducated.

[jasmer]

Yes, but the are making loans on regular commercial terms. So failure will be bad.