[onethought]

Yes, and all of those (including AI) are not even human extinction events.

- Nuclear war: Northern Hemisphere is pretty fucked. But life goes one elsewhere.

- Plasticisers: We have enough science to pretty much do what we like with fertility these days. So it's catastrophic but not extinction.

- Climate Change: Life gets hard, but we can build livable habitats in space... pretty sure we can manage a harsh earth climate. Not extinction.

- Deadly virus: Wouldn't be the first time, and we're still here.

- Astroid impact: Again, ALL human life globally? Some how birds survived the meteor that killed the dinosaurs, I'm sure we'd find a way.

- Complete Made up evil AI: Well we'd torch the sky, be turned into batteries but then be freed by Keanu Reeves.. or a Time traveling John Connor. (sounds like I'm being ridiculous, but ask a stupid question...)

[atq2119]

You're taking these things too lightly. It's true that most of these things are unlikely to kill all humans directly, but with most of them, civilizational collapse is definitely on the table, and that can ultimately lead to human extinction.

For example: Yes, we could probably build livable habitats in space (though we don't really have proof of that). But how many, for how many people, and what kind of external support systems do they require? These questions put stresses on society that prevents space habitats from working out in the long term.

[onethought]

No, all of those things are bad. But they aren't end of human species events. And GPT4 isn't even close to on the list.

[whimsicalism]

> - Astroid impact: Again, ALL human life globally? Some how birds survived the meteor that killed the dinosaurs, I'm sure we'd find a way.

I agree with many of these but we'd plausibly be toast in this scenario.

[onethought]

Yeah that one I agree is the most devastating. Agree, plausibly toast.