Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by inparen 1128 days ago
I am getting annoyed by scaremongering.

If something can be replaced by a better option, it will be. Earlier king/people used to send messenger/pigeon to deliver messages. Later came letters(postal services), then phone, then emails, then SMS, then current gen of IM.

Any one doing/done some proper research ?

2 comments

We go backwards as a society all the time. Central vacccums are objectively superior to the kind that most people use in their house today, but they were a "fad" of the 70s and 80s.

Americans are not putting bidet toilet seats into their homes despite how cheap and easy it is.

Just because something is better doesn't mean we will start using it.

Ok that's a step too far! Central vacuums are definitely the inferior choice. The half-mile of hose you have to drag around, keep unplugging and replugging to different pneumatic outlets, and store is prohibitively troublesome. Folks I know who had such a system in the house they bought, immediately went out and bought a 'regular' vacuum.
>> Americans are not putting bidet toilet seats into their homes despite how cheap and easy it is.

Social proof related behavior are not changed easily, but they eventually. Despite availability of email, people were still writing letters. In longer time frame, people do adapt.

Its scary because it replaces the thinking jobs, which are the well-paying ones. It hits home to folks who have been lucky to survive the previous societal purges of employment.
All jobs are thinking jobs, with varying degrees of physical effort. E.g. From A senator/congressman have to physically present in senate/congress, to argue/vote their case/bill (which comes from feedback from their followers, requires physical interaction) to bricklaying/road building/whatever you can imagine to lowest level. Some require more thinking and some less.

Impact seems unimaginable. May be we need an AI to AI all imaginable/unimaginable scenarios.

Honestly a congressperson seems easiest to replace with AI from your description. They have an absolutely tiny amount of physical presence with their voters... a burger flipper has far more.

Then you're completely missing the point on road building... This job is already super highly automated. 2000 years ago it took a Roman division to build a mile of road. Now it's just a few people and a lot of equipment that is getting more and more automated every year.