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by illuminati1911 1128 days ago
Whether AI comes for our jobs or not is not really relevant. Whenever there is technical revolution some jobs will vanish, new jobs will be born and some existing jobs will remain but they will also change.

In regards to software engineering, automation and abstraction in our industry (compilers, high level languages etc.) has always increased the demand for software and people working in the industry. This is very unlikely to be any different unless we'll come up with ultimate general purpose AI that can solve any problem humanity can ever face.

2 comments

There may be more jobs overall but I think inequality will grow even more. Since the 70s we were seeing a disconnect between worker productivity and worker wages and I see this trend to accelerate with tools like AI.
Most people don't seem to mind inequality (the difference between the lowest-earning and the highest-earning cohort) as long the average (or more likely the median) person is able to prosper and even grow wealthier over time.
When you look at housing we already have reached the pint where things have gotten worse for the median due to inequality. We have a few percent of the population that can afford very high prices and raise the prices for everybody that way. This is clearly a problem of inequality.
> Whether AI comes for our jobs or not is not really relevant. Whenever there is technical revolution some jobs will vanish, new jobs will be born and some existing jobs will remain but they will also change.

Except that one of the major problems is that the people who built their lives and careers around those jobs are historically hung out to dry.

It is looking like software and most white collar work will be replaced before the trades. How many 45-yr senior software workers will be happy to give it all up to become a plumber? Don't forget they will be competing with all of the other displaced workers which will drive down wages. Will they be happy begging for minimum wage jobs unclogging sewers?

More points:

Reskilling will become increasingly impossible as it becomes faster and faster to train an AI model than a human on new types of work.

Net job creation is far from guaranteed. Most law work is competed by paralegals and other staff, but replacing them doesn't mean there will be a natural growth in legal cases. A lawyer might be able to process cases 10x as fast, but that doesn't mean there 10x as many lawsuits and criminal cases will magically appear - at least I certainly hope not.