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by NumberWangMan
1124 days ago
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Ok, so just to confirm out of your 4 scenarios, you don't include: 5) There are advanced AGIs, and they will compete with each other and trample us in the process. 6) There are advanced AGIs, and they will cooperate with each other and we are at their mercy. It seems like you are putting a lot of weight on advanced AGI being either impossible or far enough off that it's not worth thinking about. If that's the case, then yes we should calm down. But if you're wrong... I don't think that the fact that no one knows anything is comforting. I think it's a sign that we need to be thinking really hard about what's coming up and try to avert the bad scenarios. To do otherwise is to fall prey to the "Safe uncertainty" fallacy. |
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