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by mastazi 1129 days ago
From Australia's BOM [1]

* Winter-Spring (June-November): Dryer than usual in eastern Australia, warmer than usual in southern Australia

* Summer-Autumn (December-May): Warmer than usual with average rainfall in eastern Australia, dryer conditions in Cape York and Tasmania, and wetter conditions in the southern part of Western Australia

[1] http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Pacific-Ocean

PS BOM agrees with NOAA that El NiƱo is coming http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/#tabs=ENSO-Outloo...

2 comments

Inevitable, but disappointing of course - I had hoped we'd have something closer to a 5y cycle, as the previous couple of dry cycles were much longer than this most recent wet(ish) one.

I'm 150km inland, just north of Sydney AU latitude (150E, 33S).

The very averaged annual rainfall in our area is 600mm (about the same as London, about half of Sydney).

In 2021 we had 910mm, and 2022 we had 966mm. So far this year we've had 192mm - and given January is our wettest period, that's way under both long-term average and recent trend.

It's worth noting that the Americans here will likely experience wetter than normal conditions (region dependent). I'm just happy Australia might have a year without so much rain. Might be a bad fire season in the end of the year though.
Yep, with the amount of rain we've had in the SE coast there's a lot of fuel around waiting to dry out.