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by yamazakiwi 1129 days ago
>The most recent IRI plume also indicates El NiƱo is likely to form during the May-July season and persist into the winter.

I was confused by the post's title but it appears El Nino is 90% likely to increase temperatures this year from May - Winter. I don't know how different this is from a normal El Nino, nor do I know if 90% is higher or lower than average.