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by julienb_sea 1135 days ago
The movement towards renewables and away from reliable, inexpensive fossil generation will continue this trend in years to come. Gas generation is increasingly economically unviable with so much competition from renewables, but it remains necessary in order to provide baseload capacity, fill gaps when renewables are underperforming, and handle significant energy demand (e.g. an extreme winter storm).
3 comments

The ultimate solution is to dramatically over build intermittent renewables so that the lowest trough of electricity production is enough to meet baseload needs.

The problem (or opportunity) then is what you do with all the excess energy during the peaks. Ideally, you also have a large fleet of responsive consumers that can quickly spin up/down consumption and pay for the electricity and keep the oversupply of energy producers economically viable.

The problem honestly is how grid is built.

For example, currently your neighbour having solar might, in worst case, cause you to have to pay for energy in peak, if they bump voltage high enough your inverter turns off.

You're also selling (if you don't have net metering) your produced power for pennies on dollar.

If, for example, instead of pushing that energy all the way could store it closer, now grid doesn't need to "do something with it", there are less losses overall, and less waste.

So if say a local muncipality or power company just built local battery storage facility and just "leased" capacity to its occupants:

* people with solar could "bank" the peaks to use it during night

* people without could enjoy lower energy prices overall

* people could "just" buy battery and consume more of that peak (buying electricity for cheap from their neighbours), and maybe even contribute pack.

* power company wouldn't need to push as much power and maybe even potentially do something clever like "preloading" batteries before peak usage so less of that is pushed from the big plants, or "borrow" some energy from the bank to push elsewhere where needed.

But that's complex and requires capital investments, and there is no motivation from power company to make stuff more optimal for customers, just for the investors.

Look at all the research and implementation of carbon-neutral steel production (discussed here: ) - electricity is the TCP/IP of energy - if you can get enough energy deployed as electricity and you have a strong grid (including HVDC lines) then over deployment of renewable generation could usher in a new wave of uses for that excess.

It's a great problem to have, and we should strive to get there. In the meanwhile keeping baseload technologies that aren't massive carbon emitters is a good thing.

The "large fleet of responsive consumers" is polymer electrolyte membrane electrolyzers, that produce hydrogen for making steel, fertilizers, plastics, and industrial chemicals. PEM electrolyzers can start up in seconds.
> The ultimate solution is to dramatically over build intermittent renewables so that the lowest trough of electricity production is enough to meet baseload needs.

Not always feasible. We had multiple months where winds were at historic lows for Europe, with lots of clouds, which meant much lower than usual wind and solar energy generation[1]. You can't overbuild enough for such a scenario.

1 - https://theconversation.com/what-europes-exceptionally-low-w...

Please explain how dramatically over building renewables will keep the lights on along the US West Coast after sunset? Where are we going to get power when there is little wind blowing and no sun shining anywhere in North America?

The reality is that the only way for renewables to provide base load is through huge amounts of storage. There are a variety of proposals for this but so far with current technology none seem to be economically viable at the scale needed.

Ladies and gentlemen, if you wanted to see the implication that this article was trying to solidify in people's heads, this comment is it.
No, that isn’t the case. The article did not try to imply that green energy is to blame.

But let’s pretend it did, is that not a perspective we should analyze? If we are going to actively restrict sources of energy, we should quantify the externalities. Not to convince anyone that we shouldn’t take those steps, but because these are real trade-offs with real costs. I’m sure that someone who earnestly feels that climate change is an immediate existential threat would welcome the analysis.

> No, that isn’t the case. The article did not try to imply that green energy is to blame.

The point of this article was to reinforce the idea that cheap energy is important to a safe and stable society, which is true, but it ties into their overall narrative that green energy in its current form is inconsistent and poses a danger to our grid. Which is why the parent comment immediately had this reaction.

> is that not a perspective we should analyze?

Yes, it is, and it would be foolish to think that the green energy sector is not tackling this already. We are all familiar with the famous "duck curve" and when energy is in demand at certain parts of the day there is a market opportunity. There are tons of companies in the storage and arbitrage space using batteries, flywheels, whatever.

The Economist does not engage with this argument in good faith, it usually just does basic concern trolling. They will point out the issue with renewables, and they oftentimes wont outright give any possible solutions, but their implication is clear. They are a newspaper for the enforcement of the status quo after all.

Not to mention the many fossil-fuel derived goods that will face diseconomies of scale