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by RcouF1uZ4gsC 1138 days ago
I think that sentiment is pretty naive.

Humans didn’t have such a perspective as they crossed oceans and continents, but these new spaces they explored became new spheres of competition and warfare.

My guess would be that space colonization if and when we reach that point will quickly turn into competition, rivalry, and warfare just like every other frontier in human history.

Even the first extra-terrestrial body humans set foot on was done in the context of the US-Soviet Space Race with the knowledge that the knowledge of rocketry gained in space exploration would also be useful for ICBMs.

1 comments

Yes, I think the competition and combat of The Expanse is more likely than this utopian vision.
Even in the Expanse it was more of a cold war between Earth and Mars, and a class war between the belters and the rest of the solar system. Globalization and the advent of planet-scale weapons have made relative peace and cooperation the more sensible option. The only wildcard is a sovereignty that has nothing to lose, a bitter history, and the power to exact real harm, and the closest we have to that in modern times is Russia. And the best way to avert this harm is to ensure no-one has nothing to lose.

But as I've said before on this forum, The Expanse isn't facts.

Of course it isn’t facts. But it more closely aligns with what we know of human history and nature than the belief that humans will ever be at peace with one another.
Also a fact is that we haven’t seen a hot war directly between two major economic powers since WWII. Quality of life and the global commerce that drives it has been trending upward for some time. Cooperation has simply been recognised as the more fruitful path, but a global scarcity of vital resources could change that equation though.

https://ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace

https://ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace#the-past-was-not-pe...