[hypertele-Xii]

285 children have died in US school shootings since 1764. In 2021, 50 million students were enrolled in public schools in prekindergarten to grade 12.

That's a 0.00057% chance your kid dies in a school shooting. You are being hysterical.

[WithinReason]

An even better statistic would be: how many children were saved by a smart phone in a school shooting?

[tzs]

You've computed, incorrectly but that's not relevant here, P(his kid dies in a school shooting).

What you should have computed is P(his kid dies in a school shooting|rumor of shooting threat at school that enough people believe that they are leaving the school).

[hypertele-Xii]

I'm not good enough at maths to do that, maybe you could fill us in? :)

[jtreminio]

We WERE at the Allen Outlets on Saturday. We left 5 minutes before the shooting began. If I had purchased one more item from a store we would have been right there.

Tell me again how I am being hysterical. This country is going down in flames and not everyone can see the fire.

[hypertele-Xii]

A traumatic experience for sure. One might almost think that after such an experience, you'd overreact at the slightest hint of anything like that ever happening again.

You are being hysterical.

(I am sorry for sounding dismissive. I pray for the safety of your family.)

[giardini]

You are hysterical, possibly b/c your interpretation is pessimistic. But most people interpret such an occurrence as a sign they are lucky.

I recommend you adopt such an attitude b/c it is healthier and b/c, when your story is retold, people will often want to touch you (so that the "good luck" rubs off on them)!

[pupppet]

74 have been hurt or killed in a school shooting in just 2023.

[hypertele-Xii]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_th...

This list says 11 dead and 6 injured in 2023, but I concede that it omits incidents with fewer than 4 dead.

[yamtaddle]

Most shootings at schools are targeted (jilted lover type situations—often these target an adult, not a student; something related to other crime, like beef over drug dealing territory between students) or are coincidences (a shooting otherwise having nothing to do with the school happens to take place on the edge of the parking lot, or something like that). They're not what people usually mean by "school shooting"—though, I mean, obviously they're still not great.

However, even including those, a couple years back I ran the numbers on odds of a kid even being present (not hurt or killed) during any kind of shooting at a school, over a 13-year K-12 school career, and I don't remember the exact figure, but it was low enough that I concluded none of this was worth any real concern on my part at all. And that's assuming shootings at schools are evenly distributed, which I'm sure they're not.

[pupppet]

NPR says 74 https://www.npr.org/2023/03/29/1166651590/nashville-school-s...

We're not even counting the shootings in general, like a shooting with no casualties is not something to be concerned about.