[capableweb]

When in doubt, and the outage is widespread it's either DNS or BGP, most likely DNS. My money is also on DNS in this case.

[TimWolla]

I suspect you'd lose that money. Many of the recent GitHub outages were caused by database issues. Examples: https://github.blog/2023-05-03-github-availability-report-ap.... In fact last march they specifically mentioned “Database stability”: https://github.blog/2022-04-06-github-availability-report-ma...