[asah]

You mean >50% isn't a lock? /s

I remember this. Tough spot for NS. I remember thinking that 2:1 Hillary and three language around it, came across a useless hedge. In retrospect, I think he'd have gotten more respect if he shouted from the rafters that Hillary doesn't have a lock and Trump could really win. Then, he'd have been heralded as a genius. Strong forecasting, weak marketing.

[the_watcher]

Maybe, but that's basically asking him to develop the opposite of the personality type that makes him abnormally good at forecasting.