[arcticbull]

The (a) scams and (b) insane volatility.

The folks you are alluding to who fall into this category are the least sophisticated and most desperate. This makes them easy marks. They shouldn't be buying into unregistered securities to resolve their banking problems. That's how we got the Great Depression and why we not have an SEC.

Further, these folks are disproportionately affected by the insane volatility and high fees of the crypto space.

These so-called financial products are just proxies for US dollar liquidity in the global financial system. If we had to write a prospectus I don't know anyone who isn't a money manager who could figure out how to actually deploy this sensibly. Let alone a homeless person without an address. How are they to 'do their own research'?

Something that makes the problem worse isn't a substitute for a proper solution.

In the US you generally need an account at an AML/KYC exchange to buy crypto for dollars and a bank account, so already we're off to a bad start. Or you can use a bitcoin ATM, which costs like 20%, dramatically worse than predatory lenders.

[latchkey]

Everything of value has volatility, zoom out on that gold chart please.

[arcticbull]

Which is why gold is a bad currency.

And as an asset, gold is priced dramatically over it's industrial value, and it's un-productive. People shouldn't invest in shiny pebbles anymore than they should invest in digital magic beans, IMO.

[latchkey]

How people decide to invest their money, isn't up to you.

[arcticbull]

I'm not telling people how to invest their money. That's between them and their financial advisor. I'm opining. I've no vested interest at all. I've no crypto position or gold position.

[latchkey]

You're ranting nonsense every time there is a crypto post in an effort to continue the anti-crypto stance on HN. It is tired and I don't mind calling you out on it.

Crypto is here to stay, no amount of what you coin as opining, will make it go away. If anything, you're doing a great job driving people to wonder more about it. When people disagree with something so passionately, it drives other people towards it even more.

[arcticbull]

Since you quoted the news guidelines at me earlier I suggest you re-skim them yourself, and then re-read your reply.

> When people disagree with something so passionately, it drives other people towards it even more.

I have no problem with that. That's why we have this site, so people can see different viewpoints. They're free to make up their own minds.

> It is tired and I don't mind calling you out on it.

I'm not tired, are you :)

It's been 15 years and no value outcome whatsoever. If the crypto community develops something useful, I'll be the first to jump on it. But for now, I'm sure OP will deliver, I just have to wait.

[overthrow]

Maybe instead of saying what people should and shouldn't be doing, you should ask yourself why they're using it anyway despite the obvious downsides.

Lightning fees are less than $0.01 - much better than the alternative of $20 for cashing a check. And the volatility is a small price to pay for financial control, for someone who (with good reason) doesn't trust banks or the government that's failing them.

Actually the easiest way the government could kill crypto would be to get rid of the corruption and help those "undesirables" with their problems, instead of making them fend for themselves. I'm not holding my breath, but in a way I hope that happens.

[arcticbull]

> Maybe instead of saying what people should and shouldn't be doing, you should ask yourself why they're using it anyway despite the obvious downsides.

They're not using it, at all. Trading volumes have plummeted, nobody uses it for exchange of value due to the volatility and the fees. You wouldn't say people are 'using Apple' because they're holding Apple stock, and you shouldn't say people are 'using Bitcoin' because they're holding onto it in a portfolio they've probably written off due to massive losses.

> Lightning fees are less than $0.01 - much better than the alternative of $20 for cashing a check. And the volatility is a small price to pay for financial control, for someone who (with good reason) doesn't trust banks or the government that's failing them.

(a) Lightning is totally unsustainable because it requires you complete an on-chain transaction to open a channel, which would take about 75 years, trillions of dollars and all the remaining block reward to do for everyone on earth. It would even take months to open a channel for everyone in the Bay Area. Then it suffers from quadratic routing complexity, and offers few if any of the guarantees of the underlying chain.

(b) It's not the replacement for $20 check cashing, that's a loan, a cash advance. That's what you're paying for. You can cash checks for free at any online bank.

> And the volatility is a small price to pay for financial control, for someone who (with good reason) doesn't trust banks or the government that's failing them.

It's literally down 60% from a year ago (almost 70% adjusting for inflation). By any objective or subjective measure that's a "big price to pay" for anyone who purchased last year. So no, it's not.

You yourself called these people out as 'living paycheck to paycheck' so by definition your own users would be utterly rekt using what you're advocating for.

Setting aside the 'crypto' third-rail, what if I came up with a way for anyone without AML or KYC to buy and sell shares of GameStop. Would you then immediately tell me that poor people should use shares of GameStop as money? In Africa? I suspect that would be viewed as overwhelmingly predatory.

[overthrow]

> They're not using it, at all.

This is obviously false. Just look at the transaction rates on the publicly available ledger.

And: Moneygram has all but publicly admitted that crypto remittances have grown large enough that it's affecting their core business, and they're trying to re-insert themselves as a middleman. https://my.linkedin.com/posts/moneygram-international_moneyg...

If you actually meant trading volumes (which matter zero for adoption btw), those haven't changed much either. Zoom out to 1w: https://bitcoinwisdom.io/markets/gdax/btcusd

> Lightning

The naive routing complexity is quadratic, yes. GPS routing is also quadratic. So is IP routing. But practical implementations use heuristics to decrease that complexity. In practice, you just need a good enough path, not the theoretically optimal path. The internet and lightning are still working fine as we speak.

> It's literally down 60% from a year ago

Bitcoin's current MVRV is 1.457[1], meaning the average holder current has a 45.7% profit. I guess if you cherry pick a high and low price you can imagine some losses, but anyone could cherry-pick numbers in the other direction too.

The 45% profit is nice, but for those living paycheck to paycheck it unfortunately isn't a huge help since many people wouldn't have been holding long enough for the gains to accumulate.

[1]: https://www.blockchain.com/explorer/charts/mvrv