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by dennisgorelik 5244 days ago
So latimes.com's article blew it out of proportions. 2% chance of disaster is not nearly the same as "so certain was he that the shuttle would blow up."
1 comments

You're conflating two different estimates: Boisjoly was certain that the particular launch would fail, and a survey of engineers gave a 1-2% estimate for failure across all flights.

Both of those predictions turned out to be extraordinarily accurate.