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by steveBK123
1159 days ago
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Conversely, I think it should make sense that the growthiest of growth areas, tech, would see the biggest pullback once money starts costing money again. A lot of loss-making / future growth speculative tech business models make a lot less sense when you can make about 5% risk free. It doesn't get discussed much, but during the boomiest tech hiring days of COVID.. interest rates weren't just 0%.. they were, in real terms, negative. Circa 2021 the treasury/risk free rate was about 1.5% while inflation ended the year at about 7%.
So you were getting paid 5.5% to take risk. This incentives speculation as parking your money in a safe CD/bond/whatever loses real-money with time. Now inflation & risk free rate are at about parity. |
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