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by Jeff_Brown 1157 days ago
Haha yes. But at the time, experts' opinions of where it would go ranged from not much to a big expansion in the size of the banked population and the space of contracts that can be written, with a lot of probability mass at nothing. AI experts themselves today estimate a range from we destroy ourselves to nearly infinite wealth, with a lot* probability mass at we destroy ourselves.

* It might be on the order of 1%, but it would be insane for a rational actor to ignore a 1% probability of self-destruction.