One of the premises of hume's sceptical metaphysics was that P(A|B) is just P(A | B -> A)
The argument for this was `A` and `B` are only "Ideas in the head" and don't refer to a world. And secondly, by assertion, that Ideas are "thin" pictorial phenomena that can only be sequenced.Hume here is just wrong. Our terms refer: `A` succeeds in referring to, eg., Rain. And our experiences aren't "thin", they're "thick" -- this was Kant's point. Our experiences play a rich role in inference that cannot be played by "pictures". To have a metal representation R of the world is to have a richly structured interpretation which does, in fact, contain and express causation. ie., R can quite easily be a mental representation of "B -> A". This, after all, is what we are thinking when we think about the rain hitting our shoes. We do not imagine P(A|B), we imagine P(A|B->A) -- if we didnt, we couldn't reason about the future. The question is only how we obtain such representations, and the answer is: the body with its intrinsic known causal structure. Whenever we need to go beyond the body, we invent tools to do so -- and connect the causal properties of those tools to our body. Hume here is wrong in every respect. And it's his extreme scepticism which undergirds all those who would say modern AI is a model of intelligence -- or is capable of modelling the world. The word isnt a "constant conjunction of text tokens" -- even Hume wouldnt be this insane. Nevertheless, it is this lobotomised Hume we're dealing with. There is a science now for how the mind comes to represent the world -- we do not need 18th C. crazy ideas. Insofar as they are presented as science, theyre pseudoscience |
Anyway this all is why I'm happy I'm not a philosopher. Philosophers deal in logic, but they don't have a machine that can calculate in logic, and keep them in the straight and narrow with its limited resources. A philosopher can say anything and imagine anything. A computer scientist -well, she can, but good luck making that happen on a computer.