This analysis fails pretty dramatically on the size (46 square miles of San Fransisco vs. ~3.5 million square miles of the US) population (810k of San Fran vs. ~330 million of the US) autonomous cars percentage (not doing that lookup) and scale of incident (blocking public transit vs. lethal crash).
Agreed but the point is humans are terrible drivers and we need to solve that. We basically accepted a covid level death toll on the roads each year. It will be tough to do when seemingly every major media company has set the bar for robotaxis at “perfect from day 1” when humans themselves are absolutely atrocious at driving
> We basically accepted a covid level death toll on the roads each year.
That's not even close to true. COVID killed at least an order of magnitude more people than road deaths (and that's not having an end date for COVID, just averaging everything over the past 3 years).
Humans seem fine at driving
For every 100,000,000 miles traversed, about one person dies. The latest Tesla FSD total distance numbers I saw were about 35,000,000 miles in total (but that number is 10 months old).
Humans are involved in accidents once every 19,000,000 miles. In December 2021, FSD was involved in accidents once every 4,400,000 miles