[toast0]

> you’re assuming that people manage to stick it out at places like Meta even when there are morale problems and layoffs. It may be fair to assume promotions, but not everyone gets those promotions and we should hope that the people who don’t get promoted are still able to live their lives.

Facebook has up or out; I don't remember the timelines, but if our IC3 data scientist doesn't get promoted to IC4 and then IC5, they're not going to be there in 12.7 years, so we may as well go ahead and assume they will be promoted, since the analysis only applies if they are.

[klodolph]

I do think you should account for the “out”, and not just the “up”.

[toast0]

Well, if you go out, then you're in the didn't make it for 12.7 years bucket.