[alfor]

ChatGPT is human level intelligence, it’s not just novel and cool, it’s the thing. Remember, GPT-4 training was finished 6 months ago. Listen to people at OpenAI, their concern is: disruption to the world, UBI, getting people used to superintelligence as part of our world. I think they have quite a few things in the pipeline.

So yes ads optimisation/recommendations still need to be reliable for the time being, but for how long?

[mach1ne]

GPT-4 is not human level intelligence, nor is is above or below. It’s quite a different kind of intelligence not entirely comparable to humans. That’s probably why we’re moving the AGI goalpost; we visualize AGI as a robot human, but these machines may simply be founded on too different principles to ever receive that honor.

[alfor]

I think it’s mostly different because they crippled the public version for now: no internet access, everything is done in one pass. In our mind we get an idea, we inspect it, we try different variations, we simulate how it will be perceive(consciousness). In this way we iterate before putting the information out. This is not difficult and is getting added on to it externally.

Chat GPT is just to get us used to the idea, it’s the toy version.

[nerdponx]

This is pure speculation, in a very implausible direction.

[jazzyjackson]

I would be interested to know which part you feel is implausible, to me it seems inevitable

You have a language model produce an outline with steps and then recursively set agents to consume and iterate on a task until another language model finds the results satisfies the specification.

This includes interactions with the real world (via instructions executed over an API) and using the success of those interactions for reinforcement learning on the model.

[alfor]

Many are building such things.

But I think they are mostly pointless as OpenAI is so far ahead of everyone external it’s not even funny. Most externals things with the API will be obsolete in a few months.

They had GPT4 6 months ago or more! They have access to the full model without crippling. They (for sure) have larger, more powerful models that are not cost effective/safe to release to the public.

Now they have a new data flyweel with people asking millions of questions daily.

Put your speculation hat on and listen attentively to the interviews of Sam Altman and Ilya Sutskever.

You will see were their minds go: UBI, safety, world disruption, etc.