[gonehome]

Yeah - it doesn't necessarily follow, but the behavior of people working on the technology doesn't inspire a lot of confidence.

Even if people were trying to constrain its access seriously I think that's unlikely to work (hard to contain a superintelligence that wants to not be contained - it's possible to trick a chimp to go into a room and the delta in intelligence between a human and a superintelligence is way bigger than us and chimps).

Instead I mostly observe people not really understanding the e-risk argument, focused mostly on small stuff that doesn't matter as much (AI language, bias). The people developing the tech connecting it to the internet and expanding capabilities, giving it access to code/training ability to write code, preparing massive datacenters for it, etc.

All of this without really understanding how to align it or what it's actual internal goals really are.

> "Just because some implementation of a universal turing machine can simulate intelligence doesn't mean it can do it well enough to survive the real world."

This could be true, but I would bet against it - and the downside risk of being wrong (potentially complete extinction) means it seems worth being way more cautious about it than we (humanity broadly) are observed being.