| >> My personal threshold for AGI is literally: discover something new and significant in science (preferably biology) that is almost certainly true by describing an experiment that could be replicated by a large number of scientists and whose interpretation is unambiguous. Done many years ago (2004), without a hint of LLMs or neural networks whatsoever: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robot_Scientist Results significant enough to get a publication in Nature: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature02236 Obligatory Wired article popularising the result: Robot Makes Scientific Discovery All by Itself For the first time, a robotic system has made a novel scientific discovery with virtually no human intellectual input. Scientists designed “Adam” to carry out the entire scientific process on its own: formulating hypotheses, designing and running experiments, analyzing data, and deciding which experiments to run next. https://www.wired.com/2009/04/robotscientist/ |
(I work in the field, know those authors, talked to them, elucidated what they actually did, and concluded it was, like many results, simply massively overhyped)