[kvetching]

The thing is, there's no evidence that the current path will lead to superintelligence. It could be the case that despite feeding a trillion dollars in compute / data to a model, that we still need to hold it's hand to do anything useful.

He jumped the gun and he's really tarnished his reputation. How can anyone take him seriously after the insane rhetoric and hyperbole of this article?

[flangola7]

> The thing is, there's no evidence that the current path will lead to superintelligence.

I don't understand how any person paying attention can think this. Just watching the jumps from GPT-2 in 2019 to GPT-4 today makes it clear as day we are rapidly drastically improving capabilities and there's no evidence we will hit a wall any time soon

[righttoolforjob]

That's besides the point. The argument still holds. We don't want to find ourselves with our foot on an exploding mine before we stop walking across the minefield. At that point it is too late.

[FeepingCreature]

How can you see the clear jumps in intelligence from GPT-2 to 3 to 4 and not only not believe that this leads to superintelligence, but see no evidence that this leads to superintelligence?