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by ben_w 1171 days ago
At a guess, the moon is a diffuse rather than a reflective surface, so it's going to be closer to a maximum of the lunar surface temperature than to solar surface temperature.

An atmospheric lens, however, will reach a maximum of somewhat closer to solar surface temperature, though still lower because of scattering and absorption which definitely isn't trivial on this kind of scale.

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The moon is pretty dark, reflecting about 12% of the sunlight that falls on it

https://www.universetoday.com/19981/moon-albedo/

If it had an albedo of 0% it would be a black body and be radiating only thermal radiation at its surface temperature; it's not too far away from that but it is reflecting some "black body" radiation from the sun representative of a higher temperature.